James P. Scanlan, Attorney at Law

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Whitehall Studies

(Sept. 22, 2012; rev. Feb. 5, 2012)

This page pertains to a particular situation where observers find something significant in the fact that relative differences in adverse outcome rates are large within a comparatively advantaged subpopulation without consideration of tendency for relative differences in adverse outcomes to be large, and relative differences in the corresponding favorable outcomes to be small, where adverse outcomes are rare.  Articles discussing these patterns in other settings include Can We Actually Measure Health Disparities? (Chance, Spring 2006), Race and Mortality (Society, Jan/Feb 2000), (Chance, Fall 1994), The Perils of Provocative Statistics (Public Interest, Winter 1991).  See also the Disparities – High Income sub-page of the Lending Disparities sub-page and the Suburban Disparities sub-page of the Discipline Disparities page and pages 15-17 of the Harvard University Measurement Letter.

***

For three decades, the United Kingdom has been a leader in health disparities research, and the Whitehall Studies have played a significant role in such research.  In the main, such research has relied on relative differences in adverse outcomes and has interpreted increasing relative differences in mortality as reflecting increasing health inequality without regard to the extent to which increases in relative differences in mortality are a statistical function of declining mortality or whether relative differences in survival rates have declined.  The Whitehall Studies are particularly noteworthy for their finding of a larger social gradient in mortality within the Whitehall cohort than within the UK at large.  That relative differences in mortality have been found to be larger among this relatively homogenous group whose members suffer from little material deprivation than in the population at large has formed the basis for a number of theories.  These include that health disparities in the population at large must in fact be greater than they seem, but the size of the disparities has been obscured by the absence of socioeconomic indicators as precise as the occupational grades in the Whitehall cohorts.  The observed patterns have also been interpreted to suggest that psycho-social factors play as large a role in health inequalities as material circumstances.  But such interpretations have been reached without consideration of the extent to which large relative inequalities in mortality (or small relative differences in survival) among British civil servants are a function of the low mortality in that population.  These and related issues are addressed in references below. 

Item 3 of the references also discusses theorizing to the effect that relative differences in mortality tend to be smaller among retired workers in the Whitehall cohort because they are no longer subjected to the working environment responsible for the mortality differences.  Such reasoning, like much other reasoning about the comparative size of health disparities among the young compared with the old, overlooks the statistical reasons to expect that relative differences in adverse outcomes will be larger among the young (where such outcomes as less common) than among the old, while relative differences in favorable outcomes will be larger among the old than the young.  See item 3. 

See also the  Life Tables Illustrations to the Scanlan’s Rule page, Table 1 of the Mortality and Survival page and Table A of the Comment on Berrington de Gonzalez NEJM 2010. 

 References:

1. The Misinterpretation of Health Inequalities in the United Kingdom, presented at the British Society for Populations Studies Conference 2006, Southampton, England, Sept. 18-20, 2006:

http://www.jpscanlan.com/images/BSPS_2006_Complete_Paper.pdf

2. Recognizing why dichotomous and continuous measures may yield contrary results. BMJ June 11, 2007 (responding to (Chandola T, Ferrie J, Sacker A, Marmot M.  Social inequalities in self reported health in early old age:  follow-up of prospective cohort study.  BMJ 2007:334:990-996): http://www.BMJ.com/cgi/eletters/334/7601/990

3. Recognizing expected patterns of relative differences in the Whitehall cohort.  Journal Review  June 25, 2007 (responding to van Rossum CTM, Shipley MJ, van de Mheen H, et al. Employment grade differences in cause specific mortality. A 25-year follow up of civil servants from the first Whitehall study. J Epidemiol Community Health 2000;54:178-84): http://jpscanlan.com/images/Van_Rossum_JECH_2000.pdf

4. Problems with the measurement of changes in health inequalities over time using dichotomous variables and possibilities using continuous variables.  Journal Review  June 19, 2007 (responding to Ferrie JE, Shipley MJ, Davey Smith GD. Change in health inequalities among British civil servants: the Whitehall II study. J Epidemiol Community Health 2002:56:922-926):  http://jpscanlan.com/images/Ferrie_JECH_2002.pdf